Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 9.744044 11.149215 12.699094 14.537602 16.661934 19.042879 21.918602
2025-09-14 7.886988 9.719293 11.904353 14.710553 18.231173 22.517930 28.157770
2025-09-21 6.708330 8.713187 11.240585 14.676908 19.252738 25.171656 33.465444
2025-09-28 5.822215 7.890822 10.618787 14.504646 19.938738 27.328305 38.241151
2025-10-05 5.365091 7.548526 10.544682 14.992622 21.490382 30.731645 45.041521
2025-10-12 4.963029 7.218711 10.425465 15.365302 22.870473 33.985638 51.954466
2025-10-19 4.671346 7.004542 10.431053 15.892577 24.497717 37.731580 60.005313
2025-10-26 4.191435 6.454463 9.873875 15.490079 24.627704 39.158065 64.507876
2025-11-02 3.826073 6.040563 9.477199 15.283465 25.021457 41.005327 69.861528
2025-11-09 3.517384 5.684389 9.132659 15.115662 25.441947 42.908604 75.485793
2025-11-16 3.239684 5.351424 8.791720 14.912353 25.766266 44.655984 80.996765
2025-11-23 2.979565 5.023678 8.428104 14.629470 25.911414 46.083028 86.050830
2025-11-30 2.892056 4.985022 8.554820 15.225588 27.703218 50.678067 97.691443
2025-12-07 2.743117 4.825890 8.457554 15.406915 28.746563 53.993160 107.242907
2025-12-14 2.575758 4.618826 8.255608 15.371572 29.368077 56.554530 115.565055
2025-12-21 2.403841 4.388721 7.991385 15.190625 29.681846 58.532327 122.892394
2025-12-28 2.339759 4.353048 8.082793 15.703220 31.421199 63.542819 137.316277
2026-01-04 2.264108 4.288644 8.113125 16.094738 32.947584 68.265380 151.690691
2026-01-11 2.212257 4.265537 8.220004 16.648715 34.865257 74.011537 169.120804
2026-01-18 2.054589 4.021355 7.871549 16.225828 34.642321 75.073165 175.694015
2026-01-25 1.931844 3.837998 7.630801 16.008762 34.847285 77.102014 184.840783
2026-02-01 1.822859 3.674553 7.417992 15.832476 35.124288 79.317766 194.721728
2026-02-08 1.718572 3.513190 7.197212 15.618898 35.293730 81.296073 204.246348